Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 18

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.45	3.95
	1.7	3.86	4.19	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4
	1.7	3.55	4.33
	1.66	3.66	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	4.13 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
53.3%

Draw
24.9%

Aliaga
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor's performance.

Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aliaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aliaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Ruzgar K. ⚽, Akarslan M. (A),
90+5', 2 - 0, Ruzgar K. ⚽, Imre M. (A),

Preview

Kahramanmaraş is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aliaga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kahramanmaraş could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kahramanmaraş won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.12.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Somaspor	6:0 ✺
17.12.25	Ankara Demirspor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Mardin 1969	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Fethiyespor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Guzide Gebzespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Aliaga FK
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.12.25	Bursaspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Menemenspor - Aliaga	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aliaga - Kırklarelispor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
24.08.25	Aliaga - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:1

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