Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	A Spor


	Igdirspor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.5
	1.54	3.9	5.82
	1.75	3.80	4.25	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.54	4.05	5.65	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.48)	3.94 ↓ (4)	5.12 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
58.5%

Draw
23.4%

Aliaga
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Igdirspor - Aliaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aliaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bolat S. (G) 61. Asan S. 5. Ozturk A. 19. Conte A. 22. Cavlan C. 34. Akcan E. 36. Ozcan O. 17. Engin A. 10. Eysseric V. 16. Yilmaz A. 55. Koita F.	25. Pekgoz A. (G) 77. Gumus Y. 5. Cetin V. 37. Paykoc K. 44. Ozdemir N. 87. Sahindere M. 60. Kahya Y. 20. Saymak M. 22. Yidirim O. 23. Yilmaz G. 9. Ozek A.
Substitutes
98. Akyuz M. (G) 86. Bekaroglu B. 6. Guctekin O. K. 23. Guneren A. K. 90. Karayel C. 58. Kaya G. 71. Keser B. 20. Mendes R. 11. Rotariu D. 65. Sobaz O. O.	70. Adiguzel A. 40. Baycuman H. 50. Dayan S. 85. Kafali R. 48. Kartal E. 80. Saral E. 8. Say F. 55. Yalcin M. (G)
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Cetin P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Asan S. ↓, Karayel C. ↑,
22', Eysseric V. 🟨,
30', Yilmaz G. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Cetin V. ⚽, Saymak M. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Ozcan O. ⚽, Koita F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ozturk A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
61', Paykoc K. 🟨,
64', Eysseric V. ↓, Guctekin O. K. ↑,
64', Engin A. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
64', Yilmaz A. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
65', Paykoc K. ↓, Kartal E. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Rotariu D. ⚽, Karayel C. (A),
78', Kahya Y. ↓, Say F. ↑,
87', Koita F. 🟨,
87', Koita F. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ozek A. ⚽, Sahindere M. (A),
90+1', Ozek A. ↓, Saral E. ↑,
90+1', Sahindere M. ↓, Dayan S. ↑,
90+3', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,

Preview

Igdirspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aliaga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Igdirspor is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Igdirspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pendikspor - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Igdirspor - Adana Demirspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Igdirspor - Orduspor 1967	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWW
- Aliaga FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.12.25	Bursaspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Menemenspor - Aliaga	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aliaga - Kırklarelispor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Sivasspor - Aliaga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWW

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