Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Kairat 2		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.6	1.98
	3.07	3.25	2.21	Watch
	3.06	3.46	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.95)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kairat 2
29.8%

Draw
26.5%

Ertis Pavlodar
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Reimov D. (G) 86. Abdrakhmanov A. (C) 42. Abish M. 89. Bagdat R. 47. Bazarbaev A. 94. Bizhan A. 36. Kalikulov A. 91. Murtaza I. 59. Tashpulatov D. 43. Toleukhan A. 87. Tuyakbaev A.	35. Kalmykov N. (C) 10. Agimanov T. 8. Buribaev N. 23. Dobay A. 11. Fedin M. 88. Kenesov A. 17. Nurymbet A. 19. Popov A. 5. Torebek T. 21. Tungyshbaev E. 47. Vasiljev V.
Substitutes
52. Aitov E. (G) 57. Duysenbek S. 30. Mendygaliev I. (G) 74. Moldakhmet E. 84. Musaipov A. 75. Nurbekuly A. 39. Omar-Akhunov A. 53. Shen M.	41. Efremenko D. (G) 55. Elemes N. 25. Esimov R. 9. Gerasimov M. 77. Kakenov D. 80. Kikbaev M. 4. Nyrkov D. 97. Smailov A. 3. Toleuov B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Dobay A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Bizhan A. (Own goal),
20', 0 - 2, Agimanov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kalmykov N. 🟨,
56', Agimanov T. 🟨,
56', Bizhan A. 🟨,
68', Buribaev N. ↓, Kakenov D. ↑,
68', Agimanov T. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
71', Kalikulov A. ↓, Nurbekuly A. ↑,
71', Murtaza I. ↓, Shen M. ↑,
71', Bagdat R. ↓, Duysenbek S. ↑,
80', Torebek T. ↓, Elemes N. ↑,
81', Tungyshbaev E. ↓, Gerasimov M. ↑,
81', Bizhan A. ↓, Musaipov A. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Gerasimov M. ⚽,
84', Kenesov A. ↓, Nyrkov D. ↑,
90+2', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
90+3', Bazarbaev A. 🟨,
90+3', Duysenbek S. 🟨,
90+3', Nyrkov D. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Kairat 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ertis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ertis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
18.07.25	Khan Tengri - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
11.07.25	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	6:1 ✺
26.06.25	Kairat 2 - Taraz	3:1 ✺
19.06.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Kairat 2	3:5 ✺
13.06.25	Kairat 2 - Zhetisay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh First League
18.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe 2	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Khan Tengri - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Turkistan - Ertis Pavlodar	1:7 ✺
13.06.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches