Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Kaiserslautern		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	2	3.4	3.4
	2.04	3.2	3.6
	2.08	3.36	3.93
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.06	3.34	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.76)	3.33 ↓ (3.63)	3.68 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaiserslautern
46.3%

Draw
28.2%

Lübeck
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

17.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaiserslautern's form might have worsened.

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaiserslautern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	19.2%	30.8%

Kaiserslautern - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Lübeck will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Kaiserslautern is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lübeck is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kaiserslautern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kaiserslautern will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 3 Bundesliga
21.11.20	Hallescher - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Kaiserslautern - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Zwickau - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
02.11.20	Kaiserslautern - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
24.10.20	Meppen - Kaiserslautern	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
22.11.20	Lübeck - Bayern Munich II	3:0 ✺
16.11.20	Verl - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Lübeck - Uerdingen	1:0 ✺
30.10.20	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWWL

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