Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	20:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10
Germany	20:45	DFB Play, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong Kong	03:45	M Plus Live
Italy	20:45	Como TV
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Norway	20:45	VG+
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	19:45	OneFootball TV


	Hannover		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.70	2.85
	2.25	3.6	2.9
	2.28	3.75	3.04
	2.22	3.8	2.86	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.95
	2.28	3.6	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)	3.64 ↓ (3.91)	2.91 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
41.9%

Draw
25.8%

Kaiserslautern
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hannover's form might have worsened.

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaiserslautern's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hannover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaiserslautern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hannover - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hannover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 5. Ghita V. 3. Tomiak B. 4. Hugonet J. 44. Sahiti E. 13. Roggow F. 14. Chakroun H. 33. Neubauer M. 27. Matsuda H. 9. Kallman B. 10. Hartel M. (C)	1. Krahl J. (G) 2. Asta S. 4. Gyamfi M. 3. Murphy A. 37. Robinson L. 6. Kunze F. 7. Ritter M. (C) 22. Haas M. 39. Tazemeta T. 45. Lukovic M. 11. Kanate I.
Substitutes
22. Engelbreth N. 26. Hobrecht T. 21. Mhango M. 20. Okon I. 29. Oudenne K. 49. Sinanovic M. 8. Taibi W. 23. Thordarson S. T. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)	20. Berisha M. 33. Elvedi J. 44. Hofmeister D. 26. Joly P. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 9. Prtajin I. 8. Sahin S. 21. Sauer M. 15. Skytta N.
Coaches
Wagner S.	Lieberknecht T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Lukovic M. ⚽, Tazemeta T. (A),
15', Ritter M. 🟨,
28', Ritter M. ↓, Sahin S. ↑,
36', Roggow F. 🟨,
45+4', Chakroun H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Hugonet J. 🟨,
63', Kanate I. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
64', Lukovic M. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
65', Chakroun H. ↓, Oudenne K. ↑,
65', Roggow F. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
65', Kallman B. ↓, Sinanovic M. ↑,
74', Kunze F. 🟨,
80', Tazemeta T. ↓, Prtajin I. ↑,
80', Asta S. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
81', Matsuda H. ↓, Hobrecht T. ↑,
81', Sahiti E. ↓, Mhango M. ↑,
82', Joly P. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Prtajin I. ⚽, Kunze F. (A),
86', Prtajin I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2.

In recent outings, Hannover has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kaiserslautern is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kaiserslautern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Hannover has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hannover against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Kaiserslautern: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Hannover - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.71%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hannover	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Hannover - Verl	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Hannover - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWW
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.26	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Kaiserslautern - Bochum	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Heidenheim - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Kaiserslautern - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Kaiserslautern - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	3:1
03.08.25	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	1:0
15.02.25	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	0:0
14.09.24	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	3:1
16.03.24	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	1:1
06.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	3:1
28.01.23	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	1:3

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