Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 19

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: FNB Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus


	Kaizer Chiefs		Orlando Pirates

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.7	2.37
	3.45	2.78	2.28
	4.32	2.69	2.27
	3.66	2.58	2.35	Watch
	3.7	2.7	2.2
	3.63	2.9	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.51)	2.73 ↑ (2.58)	2.28 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaizer Chiefs
25.3%

Draw
34.1%

Orlando Pirates
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

35.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

35.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaizer Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Bvuma B. (G) 2. Monyane T. 4. Kwinika Z. (C) 84. Inacio Miguel 35. McCarthy A. 13. Mmodi P. 23. Chislett E. 6. Maboe L. 12. Ngcobo N. 99. Lilepo M. 77. Silva F.	24. Chaine S. (G) 36. Sebelebele K. 33. Seema L. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 7. Hotto D. 8. Makhaula M. 38. Mofokeng R. 12. Appollis O. 16. Mbatha T. 11. Moremi T. 9. Mbuthuma Y.
Substitutes
21. Cele T. 48. Cross B. 47. Duba W. 9. Du Preez A. 29. Mako P. 71. Ntwari F. (G) 10. Sirino G. 18. Solomons D. 17. Velebayi A.	35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 43. Chabatsane M. 46. Dansin C. 14. De Jong A. 17. Makgopa E. 28. Maswanganyi P. 3. Ndaba N. 15. Nemtajela M. 21. van Rooyen D.
Coaches
Ben Youssef K.	Ouaddou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Moremi T. ⚽, Hotto D. (A),
31', Mofokeng R. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Appollis O. ⚽, Mofokeng R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ngcobo N. ↓, Cele T. ↑,
46', Mmodi P. ↓, Velebayi A. ↑,
49', Sebelebele K. 🟨,
54', Kwinika Z. 🟨,
62', Mbatha T. ↓, Nemtajela M. ↑,
67', Chislett E. ↓, Du Preez A. ↑,
69', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Makgopa E. ⚽, Moremi T. (A),
81', Silva F. ↓, Duba W. ↑,
81', Inacio Miguel ↓, Cross B. ↑,
85', Moremi T. ↓, van Rooyen D. ↑,
85', Appollis O. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Orlando Pirates may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaizer Chiefs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Orlando Pirates	7	6	1	0	16:1	15	19
4	Kaizer Chiefs	7	3	4	0	12:7	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
24.02.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Stellenbosch	1:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
14.02.26	Zamalek - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Al Masry	2:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
04.02.26	Stellenbosch - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
01.02.26	Kaizer Chiefs - ZESCO United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW
- Orlando Pirates
South African Nedbank Cup
21.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Casric Stars	0:1 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants	3:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
07.02.26	Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila - Orlando Pirates	1:4 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
03.02.26	AmaZulu - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Nedbank Cup
10.05.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	2:1
South African Premier Soccer League
03.05.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	1:2
01.02.25	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0
09.03.24	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	3:2
11.11.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
06.05.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	1:2
South African Premier Soccer League
25.02.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	1:0

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