Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Kajaani		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.85	3.55	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.26
	2.9	3.63	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.84	3.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	3.52 ↓ (3.52)	2.26 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kajaani
32.8%

Draw
26.3%

KTP Kotka
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.2%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

19.3%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kajaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kajaani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kajaani - KTP Kotka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kajaani is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

KTP is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KTP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kajaani won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Kajaani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
16.08.20	Kajaani - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
09.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
05.08.20	Kajaani - Oulu	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	MYPA - Kajaani	0:0 ✺
25.07.20	Kajaani - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTL
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkonen
15.08.20	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Oulu - KTP Kotka	0:0 ✺
05.08.20	KTP Kotka - MYPA	3:2 ✺
01.08.20	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
25.07.20	KTP Kotka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
14.09.19	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	4:5
13.07.19	KTP Kotka - Kajaani	0:2
25.05.19	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	1:2
Finnish Cup
26.01.19	KTP Kotka - Kajaani	4:1
Finnish Ykkonen
01.09.18	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	3:1
30.06.18	KTP Kotka - Kajaani	3:2
05.05.18	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	1:3

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