Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KTP Kotka		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.55	3.55	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3.54	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.49	3.52	2.08	Watch
	3.6	3.6	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.67)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	2.04 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
27.3%

Draw
26.7%

VPS Vaasa
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.3%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - KTP (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP (votes: 1 - 50%). VPS (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koski J. (G) 26. Paavola M. 17. Manga T. 4. Toivio J. 21. Sumusalo M. 27. Tulehmo A. 5. Wilson A. 10. Forsell P. 37. Tanaka A. 77. Weckstrom L. 7. Makela J.	77. Leislahti R. (G) 37. Reid T. 19. Haukioja M. 5. Ronnberg V. 34. Raisanen A. 21. Ahiabu P. 30. Vahtera J. 20. El Ouatki Y. 7. Cicale A. 9. Borchers M. 10. Fall M.
Substitutes
11. Banza E. 15. Edlund C. 8. Elle Essouma F. 19. Glasson M. 2. Huhtamaki U. 23. Larsen M. 14. Lehtiranta J. 33. Zhuk M. (G)	4. Engstrom J. 14. Fleuriau N. 11. Jakonen O. 3. Lakkamaki J. 25. Lindeman S. 1. Marttinen T. (G) 23. Niemi M. 2. Nuorela J. 15. Smyth L.
Coaches
Nyholm J.	Nuorela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Haukioja M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Tarvonen A. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Fall M. ⚽, Cicale A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Ahiabu P. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Sumusalo M. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
68', Weckstrom L. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
68', Tanaka A. ↓, Elle Essouma F. ↑,
69', Vahtera J. ↓, Fleuriau N. ↑,
69', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Lakkamaki J. ↑,
70', Manga T. 🟨,
79', Tarvonen A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
83', Tulehmo A. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
88', Larsen M. 🟨,
90+1', Koski J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Ahiabu P. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KTP won 3.

VPS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

VPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

VPS will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches KTP won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams KTP won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.25	KTP Kotka - SJK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	KTP Kotka - HJK	0:4 ✺
08.02.25	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Gnistan - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.25	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.25	VPS Vaasa - KPV Kokkola	5:0 ✺
22.03.25	Sundsvall - VPS Vaasa	2:3 ✺
12.03.25	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	4:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	SJK - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.08.23	VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka	2:1
03.06.23	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
04.11.20	VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka	2:4
15.08.20	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.10.15	VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka	1:1
03.08.15	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	0:0
03.05.15	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	3:2

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