Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Muhoroni Youth

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.19	5.73
	1.45	3.62	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	6.72 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
60.3%

Draw
26.4%

Muhoroni Youth
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

29.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kakamega Homeboyz's performance.

Muhoroni Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muhoroni Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kakamega Homeboyz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhoroni Youth than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muhoroni Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Homeboyz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Muhoroni is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muhoroni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Homeboyz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Homeboyz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Homeboyz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
19.01.24	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	3:0 ✺
22.12.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Muhoroni Youth
Kenyan Premier League
20.01.24	Kenya CB - Muhoroni Youth	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Muhoroni Youth - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Shabana - Muhoroni Youth	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Muhoroni Youth - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Posta Rangers - Muhoroni Youth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.11.23	Muhoroni Youth - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2
26.03.17	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muhoroni Youth	1:0

Kakamega Homeboyz - Muhoroni Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide