Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	AFC Leopards		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.78	2.82
	2.48	2.75	3.07	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.7
	2.54	2.78	2.78	Watch
	3	2.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)	2.69 ↓ (2.74)	2.81 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Leopards
34.1%

Draw
33.6%

Kakamega Homeboyz
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

32.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Homeboyz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Omollo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 1.

Leopards is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Homeboyz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Leopards has had a series of away games.

Recently, Homeboyz has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leopards	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
23.12.25	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTWT
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Police FC	2:2 ✺
17.12.25	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.04.25	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2
07.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	1:1
18.02.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	0:0
17.12.23	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
Kenyan FKF Cup
20.05.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	2:1
Kenyan Premier League
16.04.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	Kakamega Homeboyz awarded(1:0, 1:0)
21.12.22	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0

AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide