Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Kalaâ		Stade Gabèsien

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.58	2.78
	3.13	2.26	3.07	Watch
	2.72	2.6	2.78
	3	2.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	2.42 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalaâ
31.4%

Draw
37.5%

Stade Gabèsien
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalaâ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Stade Gabèsien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Gabèsien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalaâ than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Gabèsien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Ayba F. 🟥,
81', 0 - 1, Jerbi W. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1).

Kalaâ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stade Gabèsien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kalaâ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kalaâ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalaâ Sport
Tunisian Ligue 2
16.11.25	Djelma - Kalaâ	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kalaâ - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Korba - Kalaâ	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kalaâ - Moknine	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	EGS Gafsa - Kalaâ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWL
- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
16.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Moknine	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sidi Bouzid - Stade Gabèsien	2:6 ✺
12.10.25	Jendouba Sport - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Stade Gabèsien - Union Ksour Essef	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
01.04.23	Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien	2:1
23.11.22	Stade Gabèsien - Kalaâ	0:0

Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide