Match Info

GREECE: GREEK CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium (Kalamata)

Referee: Tsimenteridis S. (Gre)


	Kalamata		PAOK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9	5	1.27
	9.4	4.9	1.27
	11.37	5.15	1.27
	11	4.6	1.24
	11.5	5.1	1.27	Watch
	9.8	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.35 ↑ (6.1)	4.96 ↑ (3.8)	1.27 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalamata
8.9%

Draw
18.5%

PAOK
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

23.7%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalamata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kalamata's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalamata than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalamata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	6.9%	72.4%

Kalamata - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Kalamata will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). PAOK will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Kalamata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PAOK is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kalamata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalamata FC
Greek Super League 2
04.12.22	Kalamata - Episkopi	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	PAE Chania - Kalamata	1:0 ✺
18.11.22	Kalamata - Panachaiki	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Olympiacos Piraeus B - Kalamata	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Kalamata - Irodotos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW
- PAOK FC
Club Friendly
05.12.22	Aris - PAOK	1:4 ✺
01.12.22	AEL Limassol - PAOK	0:3 ✺
28.11.22	PAOK - MS Ashdod	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.11.22	PAOK - Volos	3:0 ✺
10.11.22	Ionikos Nikaias - PAOK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

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