The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PAOK 38%
Draw 29.3%
AEK Athens 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
31%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
29.9%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
PAOK - AEK Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). AEK will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Monastirlis D. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Hatzidiakos P. 19. Diego Costa 13. Giannoulis D. 18. Jakic K. 7. Santamaria B. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 24. Banza S. 52. Chatsidis D. 27. Ndiaye C.
41. Balamotis M. (G) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilo S. 14. Majer L. 18. Marin R. 10. Zubkov O. 90. Zini 17. Kaloskamis D. 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
21. Baba A. 97. Bataoulas D. 2. Camara M. 6. Elustondo A. 78. Kosidis G. 56. Mythou A. 47. Shoretire S. 11. Taison 32. Taylor G. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 16. Ugresic O. 20. Zafeiris C.
5. Alexiou C. 16. Arriaga K. 91. Brignoli A. (G) 57. Christakopoulos S. 8. Gacinovic M. 15. Georgiev M. 23. Joao Mario 6. Kairinen K. 7. Kutesa D. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Mantalos P. 19. Varga B.
Coaches
Lisci A.
Nikolic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Banza S. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Majer L. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
63', Banza S. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
63', Chatsidis D. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
69', Santamaria B. ↓, Zafeiris C. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Shoretire S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
76', Zubkov O. 🟨,
77', Majer L. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
77', Zubkov O. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
84', Ndiaye C. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
84', Zivkovic A. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
85', Taylor G. 🟨,
88', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
89', Lisci A. 🟨,
90+2', Zini 🟨,
90+4', Brignoli A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
PAOK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, PAOK has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for PAOK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Australia
Cyprus
Greece
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Monastirlis D. (G) 
Kenny J. 
Diego Costa 
Jakic K. 
Santamaria B. 
Zivkovic A. (C) 
Banza S. 
Ndiaye C. 
Relvas F. 
Pilo S. 
Marin R. 
Zubkov O. 
Zini 
Baba A. 
Camara M. 
Elustondo A. 
Taylor G. 
Arriaga K. 
Brignoli A. (G) 
Georgiev M. 
Kairinen K. 
Kutesa D. 
Varga B. 
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