Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	SportKlub
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportPlus


	Aris		PAOK

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.93
	4.2	3.25	1.95	Watch
	4.46	3.27	1.96
	4.16	3.29	1.93	Watch
	3.8	3	2
	3.98	3.16	2	Watch
	4.33	3.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.58)	3.23 ↓ (3.37)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
22.8%

Draw
29%

PAOK
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.8%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Aris - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). PAOK will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Aris (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 14.3%). PAOK (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 15. Tejero A. 4. Fabiano (C) 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 27. Fadiga N. 78. Hongla M. 10. Racic U. 7. Perez C. 97. Jensen F. 28. Dudu 80. Moron L.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Vogliacco A. 6. Lovren D. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 20. Zafeiris C. 77. Despodov K. 10. Pelkas D. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
19. Alfarela M. 49. Boussaid O. 13. Dioudis S. (G) 11. Donis A. 17. Frydek M. 90. Garre B. 25. Gning M. 91. Karaj E. (G) 88. Kerkez M. 31. Kouame C. 92. Rose L. 22. Voriazidis M.	43. Balde M. 22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 19. Jeremejeff A. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 23. Sastre J. 11. Taison 32. Taylor G. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Hongla M. 🟨,
10', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
31', Perez C. 🟨,
45', Vogliacco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Vogliacco A. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
57', Despodov K. ↓, Taison ↑,
59', Moron L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
59', Dudu ↓, Donis A. ↑,
72', Perez C. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
83', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
88', Jensen F. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
90+4', Kouame C. 🟨,
90+6', Alfarela M. 🟨,
90+6', Taison 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 1.

Aris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PAOK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

PAOK could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M. (Foot Injury) Alvaro P. (Inactive) Galanopoulos K. (Inactive) Kadewere T. (Inactive) Mendyl H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

PAOK: 13.02% Aris: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	PAOK	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	5:10	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
31.01.26	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aris - Levadiakos	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	AEL Larissa - Aris	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
14.01.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
11.01.26	Aris - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLT
- PAOK FC
Greek Cup
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.02.26	PAOK - Panserraikos	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lyon - PAOK	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	PAOK - Betis	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
18.01.26	PAOK - OFI	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
07.12.25	PAOK - Aris	3:1
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Aris - PAOK	1:1
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Aris - PAOK	0:0
29.09.24	PAOK - Aris	0:1
19.05.24	Aris - PAOK	1:2
10.03.24	PAOK - Aris	0:1
07.01.24	Aris - PAOK	2:1

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