Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:30	VG+
Sweden	17:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Kalmar		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.5
	1.80	3.60	4.20
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.7	4.09	4.99
	1.7	4.06	4.58
	1.65	4	4.9
	1.71	4	4.61	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.96)	3.91 ↑ (3.55)	4.64 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
55.7%

Draw
24.1%

Brommapojkarna
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kalmar's performance.

Brommapojkarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brommapojkarna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kalmar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brommapojkarna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Kalmar - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brommapojkarna will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Ylitolva M. 39. Saetra L. 4. Lofgren J. 2. Larsson V. 17. Gustafsson C. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 10. Soderback M. 21. Magashy A. 24. Sagoe Jr C. 6. Tyren V.	25. Blazevic D. (G) 4. Cotton O. 23. Simpson J. 3. Troelsen A. 6. Zanden O. 11. Orqvist R. 21. Strand S. (C) 20. Odefalk W. 17. Kurochkin A. 9. Hansen M. 30. Bjorklund L.
Substitutes
20. Almqvist A. 19. Dall E. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 22. Lauritsen T. 3. Overby S. 11. Paananen K. 23. R. Gojani 9. Stolt M.	12. Amole B. 35. Aurell C. 27. Barslund K. 22. Bergvall R. 24. Derbali M. 40. Lacayo J. (G) 7. Okeke O. 16. Petrovic L. 2. Vagic P.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Kristiansson U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kurochkin A. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
29', Hallberg M. ↓, R. Gojani ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
46', Soderback M. ↓, Almqvist A. ↑,
57', Bjorklund L. 🟨,
62', Magashy A. ↓, Paananen K. ↑,
72', Bjorklund L. ↓, Barslund K. ↑,
73', Tyren V. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
77', Cotton O. ↓, Vagic P. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Odefalk W. ⚽, Orqvist R. (A),
87', 0 - 3, Odefalk W. ⚽, Zanden O. (A),
90', Orqvist R. ↓, Aurell C. ↑,
90', Hansen M. ↓, Petrovic L. ↑,
90', Kurochkin A. ↓, Bergvall R. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 2.

Kalmar is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Brommapojkarna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brommapojkarna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Kalmar has faced a series of away games on the road.

Kalmar carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Doubtful / questionable for Brommapojkarna: Sever K. (Injury).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Kalmar has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:15 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kalmar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Brommapojkarna	26	9	7	10	39:43	-4	34
13	Kalmar	25	6	4	15	23:41	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.26	Degerfors - Kalmar	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.10.26	Norrköping - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.26	Kalmar - Häcken	0:5 ✺
13.09.26	Elfsborg - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.10.26	Brommapojkarna - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	AIK - Brommapojkarna	5:6 ✺
19.09.26	Brommapojkarna - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Hammarby - Brommapojkarna	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.26	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	1:0
26.10.24	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	1:2
14.07.24	Kalmar - Brommapojkarna	0:1
27.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	2:3
14.05.23	Kalmar - Brommapojkarna	1:3
30.09.18	Kalmar - Brommapojkarna	1:1
18.05.18	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	2:1

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