Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 23

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	VG+
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.2
	1.75	3.75	4.20
	1.78	3.55	4.3
	1.85	3.78	4.31
	1.78	3.95	4.23
	1.82	3.7	4.25
	1.82	3.74	4.24	Watch
	1.77	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	3.73 ↓ (3.84)	4.24 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malmö
52.6%

Draw
25.3%

Kalmar
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Kalmar aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Malmö - Kalmar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Malmö (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Malmo FF (1.75) (votes: 97%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 44. Palsson M. 25. Busanello 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 28. Milosavljevic J. 45. Hoog A. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 15. Lahdo M.	1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Ylitolva M. 39. Saetra L. 4. Lofgren J. 2. Larsson V. 17. Gustafsson C. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 10. Soderback M. 21. Magashy A. 24. Sagoe Jr C. 6. Tyren V.
Substitutes
10. Christiansen A. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 11. Ekong E. 29. Haksabanovic S. 42. Jeppsson V. 6. Karabelyov Y. 4. Kurtulus B. 47. Lundbergh T. 54. Sundgren A.	13. Camara A. 19. Dall E. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 22. Lauritsen T. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z. 23. R. Gojani 25. Shamoun N. 9. Stolt M.
Coaches
Helstrup G.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gustafsson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Milosavljevic J. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
57', Djuric A. 🟨,
69', Ylitolva M. 🟨,
69', Hallberg M. ↓, Lauritsen T. ↑,
69', Lahdo M. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Rosengren O. ⚽, Stryger J. (A),
73', Magashy A. ↓, Shamoun N. ↑,
73', Tyren V. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
78', Hoog A. ↓, Lundbergh T. ↑,
78', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
80', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
80', Soderback M. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
88', Ekong E. 🟨,
88', Rosengren O. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 14th in the Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Malmö has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kalmar is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Malmö could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Malmö carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Malmö: Busuladzic K. (Injury) Christiansen A. (Inactive) Ekong E. (Knee Injury) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) Kamanzi W. (Muscle Injury) Sjostrand O. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Kalmar: Paananen K. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Kalmar: Kindberg J. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:14 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:6 goals (averaging 2.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38:34	4	37
13	Kalmar	25	6	4	15	23:41	-18	22

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Kalmar - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.7%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.09.26	Västerås SK - Malmö	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Malmö - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sirius - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
27.08.26	Lindö - Malmö	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWW
- Kalmar FF
Club Friendly
06.10.26	Norrköping - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.26	Kalmar - Häcken	0:5 ✺
13.09.26	Elfsborg - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Kalmar - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Halmstad - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.26	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2
Club Friendly
20.03.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2
24.05.24	Malmö - Kalmar	5:0
08.10.23	Kalmar - Malmö	1:0
01.04.23	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1

Upcoming Matches