Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Kaluga		Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.25	3.4
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.04	3.05	3.2
	2.11	3.15	3.43
	1.98	3.38	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
44.8%

Draw
28.1%

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

20.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaluga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaluga - Khimik Arsenal Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khimik-Arsenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kaluga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.04.21	Kaluga - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Sokol Saratov - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
06.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
01.04.21	Ryazan - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLL
- Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Krasnyy Smolensk - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.04.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	2:2 ✺
01.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Avangard Kursk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.08.20	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Kaluga	1:0
Russian PFL Center
02.11.19	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Kaluga	0:1
09.08.19	Kaluga - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	2:2
02.06.19	Kaluga - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:0
Club Friendly
22.03.19	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Kaluga	2:2
Russian PFL Center
18.07.18	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Kaluga	0:0
28.10.17	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Kaluga	3:0

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