Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Fakel Voronezh 2		Kaluga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	4.5	3.55	1.65
	4.3	3.5	1.63
	4.47	3.47	1.67
	4.75	3.75	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (5.13)	3.55 ↓ (3.72)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Voronezh 2
20%

Draw
25.3%

Kaluga
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24.5%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

20.6%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Voronezh 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Voronezh 2 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaluga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel Voronezh 2 - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Fakel 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fakel 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kaluga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fakel 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.11.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Fakel Voronezh 2	3:0 ✺
04.11.21	Salyut Belgorod - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
14.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Zenit Penza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LLTTL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.11.21	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
04.11.21	Ryazan - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
21.10.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
19.10.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.09.21	Kaluga - Fakel Voronezh 2	2:1
06.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Kaluga	1:0
18.10.20	Kaluga - Fakel Voronezh 2	4:1

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