Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Kaluga		Salyut Belgorod

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.45
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.64	2.9	2.58
	2.67	3.26	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.76)	3.02 ↓ (3.32)	2.44 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
33.1%

Draw
29.9%

Salyut Belgorod
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.7%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21.9%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaluga's performance.

Salyut Belgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salyut Belgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaluga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (+23.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salyut Belgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salyut is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salyut will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.10.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
30.09.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Kaluga - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Zenit Penza - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
14.09.21	Kaluga - Fakel Voronezh 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW
- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.10.21	Salyut Belgorod - Ryazan	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Salyut Belgorod - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Sokol Saratov - Salyut Belgorod	5:0 ✺
14.09.21	Salyut Belgorod - Dynamo Vladivostok	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
01.08.21	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	2:1
30.05.21	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	3:1
29.10.20	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	2:3
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 penalties
05.08.19	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	3:4 penalties
Russian PFL Center
27.04.19	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	2:2
15.09.18	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	1:2

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