Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Zenit Penza		Salyut Belgorod

	1	X	2
	8.75	3.88	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.75 ↑ (4.28)	3.88 ↑ (3.32)	1.37 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
10.4%

Draw
23.4%

Salyut Belgorod
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

27.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit Penza's form might have worsened.

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salyut Belgorod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zenit Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salyut Belgorod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Vinnikov I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Poptsov M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Boyarkin N. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 0.

Recent form of Zenit Penza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salyut's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salyut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Salyut is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit Penza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Salyut-Belgorod	26	15	4	7	46:25	21	49
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Zenit Penza - Oryol	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	9:1 ✺
13.06.26	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLT
- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.10.25	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	0:1
28.06.25	Salyut Belgorod - Zenit Penza	2:0
11.08.24	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	2:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
22.09.22	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:3
18.09.22	Salyut Belgorod - Zenit Penza	7:0
30.09.21	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:1
18.07.21	Salyut Belgorod - Zenit Penza	3:1

Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide