Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.55	3.25	2.49
	2.74	3.32	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.32	2.36	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	2.45 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
35.2%

Draw
27.8%

Tochigi City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamatamare Sanuki's form might have worsened.

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kamatamare Sanuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 35. Sago S. 99. Tsukegi Y. 55. Fujii Y. 2. Uchida M. 6. Hasegawa H. 15. Iwamoto K. 60. Morikawa Y. 8. Mori Y. 24. Ueno A. 90. Goto Y.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 33. Inui T. 26. Utsugi S. 8. Mori T. 14. Sekino G. 40. Suzuki K. 99. Hiraoka M. 77. Tanaka P. J.
Substitutes
3. Ibayashi A. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 33. Kawakami S. 10. Kawanishi S. 13. Maekawa T. 17. Makiyama K. 18. Miyaichi T. 4. Takemura S. 29. Tao K.	2. Carlos Eduardo 17. Fujiwara T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 25. Higashikawa H. 10. Okaniwa Y. 5. Okui R. 11. Omotehara G. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Hiraoka M. ⚽,
65', Goto Y. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
66', Hiraoka M. ↓, Higashikawa H. ↑,
66', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
66', Suzuki K. ↓, Fujiwara T. ↑,
73', Mori T. ↓, Omotehara G. ↑,
76', Ueno A. ↓, Kawakami S. ↑,
77', Mori Y. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
86', Utsugi S. ↓, Okaniwa Y. ↑,
87', Morikawa Y. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
87', Iwamoto K. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tochigi City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kamatamare have a series of home games.

Kamatamare will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Cerezo Osaka	1:5 ✺
Japan J3 League
15.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tochigi City - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Tochigi City - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Tochigi City - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWTL

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