Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Tochigi City		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.17	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	13	5.4	1.24	Watch
	20	6.08	1.14	Watch
	15	5.9	1.2	Watch
	13	5.4	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.58 ↑ (9.05)	5.63 ↑ (4.93)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
6.9%

Draw
16.5%

Kashima Antlers
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

18.9%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

17.9%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashima Antlers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Tochigi City - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 28. Konishi K. 2. Carlos Eduardo 7. Suzuki R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 11. Omotehara G. 16. Kato Jo 8. Mori T. 25. Higashikawa H. 23. Yoshida A.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 2. Anzai K. 71. Araki R. 14. Higuchi Y. 20. Funabashi Y. 28. Mizoguchi S. 77. Cavric A. 11. Tagawa K.
Substitutes
17. Fujiwara T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 32. Jibril T. 24. Kumano K. 19. Murakoshi K. 14. Sekino G. 4. Uchida R. 27. Umezawa K. 26. Utsugi S.	29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 25. Koike R. 9. Leo Ceara 27. Matsumura Y. 19. Morooka S. 5. Sekigawa I. 10. Shibasaki G. 40. Suzuki Y. 23. Tsukui K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
17', Okui R. 🟨,
37', Konishi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yoshida A. ↓, Fujiwara T. ↑,
46', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
53', Araki R. (Pen),
64', Higashikawa H. ↓, Jibril T. ↑,
64', Mori T. ↓, Kumano K. ↑,
64', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
64', Tagawa K. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Nono K. ⚽,
77', Cavric A. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
81', Okui R. ↓, Murakoshi K. ↑,
81', Anzai K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
88', Tsukui K. 🟨,

Preview

Tochigi City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kashima is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Kashima have a series of home games.

In this match Kashima is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Tochigi City - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Tochigi City - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLW
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

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