Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)


	Kampala City Council		Express

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	8.3
	1.29	4.62	8.93
	1.3	4.53	9.73	Watch
	1.29	4	12
	1.26	4.45	12.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	4.39 ↑ (4.05)	10.21 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kampala City Council
70.4%

Draw
20.7%

Express
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

22.4%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

21.3%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kampala City Council - Express Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ssebaduka S. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Ahimbisibwe Ivan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Mayanja S. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Express may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kampala City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kampala City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Express	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
12	Kampala City	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kampala City Council FC
Ugandan Super League
06.03.26	Kampala City Council - Police	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Buhimba United Saints - Kampala City Council	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Kampala City Council - Bul	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	NEC FC - Kampala City Council	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Kampala City Council - Entebbe UPPC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
07.03.26	Villa - Express	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Express - Maroons	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Express - Entebbe UPPC	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	NEC FC - Express	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Kitara - Express	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
23.10.25	Express - Kampala City Council	0:1
07.12.24	Kampala City Council - Express	0:1
10.02.24	Express - Kampala City Council	3:4
08.10.23	Kampala City Council - Express	1:2
09.12.22	Kampala City Council - Express	3:0
03.03.22	Express - Kampala City Council	2:2
22.12.21	Kampala City Council - Express	0:0

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