Match Info

Uganda Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Kitara		Express

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.28	5.99
	1.56	3.24	7.30	Watch
	1.5	3.3	6.5
	1.49	3.35	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.35)	3.29 ↓ (4.1)	6.84 ↓ (9.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitara
59.4%

Draw
27.4%

Express
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

22.4%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

21.2%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kitara's form might have worsened.

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kitara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-4%)

Kitara - Express Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Express (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Express (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Kitara has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kitara is the clear favorite.

We predict that Kitara will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitara FC
Ugandan Cup
18.03.26	Kitara - Bunyaruguru United	6:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
13.03.26	Kitara - Buhimba United Saints	4:0 ✺
10.03.26	Mbarara City - Kitara	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	UPDF - Kitara	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Kitara - Entebbe UPPC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTW
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
14.03.26	Express - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Kampala City Council - Express	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Villa - Express	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Express - Maroons	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Express - Entebbe UPPC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
28.01.26	Kitara - Express	1:0
21.12.24	Kitara - Express	7:0
12.12.23	Kitara - Express	1:0
21.05.21	Express - Kitara	4:0
02.03.21	Kitara - Express	0:1

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