Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)


	Express		Maroons

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.46	2.72	3.03
	2.5	2.79	2.98	Watch
	2.38	2.8	2.88
	2.44	3.09	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.37)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
37.4%

Draw
31.8%

Maroons
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Express - Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Nunda J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Kimera ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 0.

In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maroons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Express may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Express won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Express won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Maroons	5	2	0	3	8:6	2	6
11	Express	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
14.02.26	Express - Entebbe UPPC	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	NEC FC - Express	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Kitara - Express	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Express - Buhimba United Saints	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Express - Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLWL
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
19.02.26	Villa - Maroons	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Maroons - Kitara	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Maroons - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Entebbe UPPC - Maroons	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Maroons - Kampala City Council	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
17.12.25	Maroons - Express	4:0
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0
28.09.24	Express - Maroons	0:0
28.03.24	Maroons - Express	2:0
24.11.23	Express - Maroons	0:1
16.12.22	Maroons - Express	1:1
05.03.20	Maroons - Express	0:1

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