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Current Win Probability
Kano Pillars 57.8%
Draw 25%
Nasarawa United 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
28.9%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
30.1%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kano Pillars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kano Pillars's performance.
Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nasarawa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kano Pillars than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kano Pillars that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nasarawa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Okeke A. (G) 27. Akala O. 10. Ali R. (C) 18. Jibrin M. 14. Mohammed A. 13. Mukhtar M. 15. Musa A. 28. Okorie C. 21. Sanusi A. 11. Umar M. 30. Usman F.
31. Olughu C. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 23. Istifanus J. 30. John J. 25. Lawal A. 3. Mubarak H. 33. Nnoli S. 17. Ugochukwu L. 11. Ulunwa S. 24. Victor Ekioke J. 14. Yusuf A.
Substitutes
12. Ahmed I. 19. Baba S. A. 1. Galadima M. (G) 20. Jibrin M. 29. Lawan M. 17. Malam A. 35. Olewunne I. 34. Usman M. 5. Yakubu H.
19. Adamu H. 22. Alakija H. 1. Benson A. 32. Garba M. 34. Godwin A. (G) 18. Ikemdinachi I. 13. Jack B. 2. Ojo J. 20. Okorie E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Umar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Okorie C. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Jibrin M. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kano Pillars won 1.
Kano Pillars is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nasarawa United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nasarawa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nasarawa United has had a series of home games.
Kano Pillars could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kano Pillars won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kano Pillars won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
Nigeria
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Okeke A. (G) 
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