The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nasarawa United 58.7%
Draw 28.6%
Kwara United 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
26.7%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
25.8%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasarawa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nasarawa United - Kwara United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Olughu C. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 32. Garba M. 23. Istifanus J. 30. John J. 3. Mubarak H. 4. Nduka C. 20. Okorie E. 28. Utaka E. 24. Victor Ekioke J. 14. Yusuf A.
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 11. Aule J. 2. Bright B. 20. Gidado T. 25. Ibrahim Y. 34. Ogbonna A. 13. Ogunribide S. 15. Olanrewaju A. 4. Ozor P.
Substitutes
8. Ada U. 10. Aliyu A. 1. Benson A. 25. Lawal A. 29. Onovughe C. 35. Ovunda D. (G) 5. Tsehuan M. 17. Ugochukwu L. 11. Ulunwa S.
. Alao M. 21. Emmanuel I. 5. Gbadamosi J. 6. Jimoh W. 23. Kabiru M. 31. Mohammed A. M. 7. Olororo A. 28. Salawudeen A. 35. Yekini K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Aimufua J. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 1.
In recent matches, Nasarawa United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kwara is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Nasarawa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Nasarawa United is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nasarawa United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Nigeria
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Olughu C. (G) 
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