Match Info

NPFL - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Lafia Township Stadium (Lafia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Nasarawa United		El-Kanemi Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.34	3.85	9.6
	1.45	3.50	8.84	Watch
	1.32	4.26	11.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)	9.85 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasarawa United
67%

Draw
23.7%

El-Kanemi Warriors
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

26.3%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

25.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasarawa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

El-Kanemi Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El-Kanemi Warriors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Nasarawa United - El Kanemi Warriors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nasarawa United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Olughu C. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 8. Ada U. 32. Garba M. 30. John J. 3. Mubarak H. 4. Nduka C. 20. Okorie E. 28. Utaka E. 24. Victor Ekioke J. 14. Yusuf A.	24. Otuyiga H. (G) 22. Abdulaziz Y. 8. Abdulrahman D. 12. Akekoromowei G. 23. Audu U. 11. Bello S. 3. Bukar Damboama D. 33. Fabiyi T. 17. Ikechukwu V. 6. Muktar I. 4. Musa Z.
Substitutes
34. Godwin A. (G) 23. Istifanus J. 25. Lawal A. 16. Manga M. 33. Nnoli S. 7. Osanga K. 26. Terseer I. P. 17. Ugochukwu L. 11. Ulunwa S.	7. Al Amin U. 21. Bakura J. 20. Idieye D. 19. Jonas E. 1. Nwabufo E. 10. Salisu I. 27. Yahaya I. 2. Yakubu B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
67', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 3.

Nasarawa United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El-Kanemi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, El-Kanemi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nasarawa United is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nasarawa United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
09.11.25	Nasarawa United - Kwara United	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Nasarawa United - Remo Stars	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Rivers United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ikorodu City - Nasarawa United	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nasarawa United - Enugu Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLW
- El-Kanemi Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
10.11.25	Remo Stars - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	El-Kanemi Warriors - Enugu Rangers	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Katsina United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Abia Warriors - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Plateau United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
21.09.24	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	3:4
Nigerian National League
08.06.24	El-Kanemi Warriors - Nasarawa United	0:1
Nigerian Premier League
01.04.23	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:2
21.04.19	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	5:1
Nigerian Federation Cup
04.10.18	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:0
Nigerian Premier League
06.05.18	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:0
19.07.17	Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:1

Nasarawa United - El-Kanemi Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide