Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Tovuz şəhər stadionu (Tovuz)

Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.66
	4.35	3.45	1.7
	4.59	3.44	1.78
	4.72	2.77	1.97	Watch
	4.63	3.46	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↓ (7.65)	3.32 ↓ (4.23)	1.76 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
20.3%

Draw
27.6%

Araz Naxçıvan
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

21.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kapaz's performance.

Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Kapaz - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kapaz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Araz will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Kapaz (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Huseynov M. (G) 12. Ba M. (C) 6. Gomes P. 27. Isayev M. 38. Jefferson Maciel 10. Ohori R. 9. Pachu 88. Seyidov S. 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D. 11. Vitor Feijao	12. Avram C. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 5. Alxasov 6. Andrade P. 70. Boli C. 4. Mammadov R. 17. Paro I. 23. Rodrigues N. 10. Santos F. 11. Simakala B. 29. Wanderson
Substitutes
20. Abilov E. 19. Aptsiauri O. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 55. Dongo D. 23. Kalantarov F. 15. Mammadov R. 77. Nabiyev F. 1. Rosa K. (G) 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S.	94. Ahmadli T. (G) 24. Ahmadzada M. 77. Bruno Franco 26. Buludov O. 19. Cohen B. 8. Diniyev C. 3. Hasanalizada B. 14. Isgandarov U. 7. Keyta H. 22. Mustafayev E.
Coaches
Sukurov A.	Bakshiev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, Alxasov ⚽,
66', Simakala B. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
66', Rodrigues N. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
66', Boli C. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
73', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Mammadov R. ↑,
73', Ohori R. ↓, Dongo D. ↑,
77', Wanderson ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
80', Vitor Feijao ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
80', Seyidov S. ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Cohen B. ⚽, Santos F. (A),
89', Andrade P. ↓, Diniyev C. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1.

In recent matches, Araz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Araz is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.08.25	Zira - Kapaz	5:0 ✺
23.08.25	Kapaz - Karvan	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Sumgayit - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Turan Tovuz - Kapaz	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.08.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Gabala	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Turan Tovuz - Araz Naxçıvan	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Omonia - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
07.08.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Omonia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
13.04.25	Kapaz - Araz Naxçıvan	0:0
10.02.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:0
22.11.24	Kapaz - Araz Naxçıvan	0:2
13.09.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	1:0
05.04.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	1:2
05.02.24	Kapaz - Araz Naxçıvan	3:1
10.11.23	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:1

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