Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Zira		Kapaz

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.25	8.3
	1.34	4.45	8.2
	1.27	4.76	10.91	Watch
	1.33	4	9.5
	1.33	4.05	9.7	Watch
	1.37	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	4.21 ↑ (3.98)	8.77 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
68.2%

Draw
21.5%

Kapaz
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.8%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zira - Kapaz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Zira (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zira will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 19. Abdullazada R. 26. Acka S. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 22. Aydin E. 20. Djibrilla I. 30. Guima 93. Konate B. 28. Mickels L. 29. Nuriyev C. 4. Ruan Renato	22. Huseynov M. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 12. Ba M. 6. Cafarov C. 14. Fofana A. 5. Huseynli R. 77. Nabiyev F. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D. (C)
Substitutes
70. Alasgarov N. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 21. Hacyly H. 25. Henrique Gelain 8. Ibrahimli I. 6. Kuliyev E. 11. Martins Junior 7. Muradov R. 5. Mutsinzi A. 73. Nuriyev A. 10. Papunashvili G. 9. Volkovi D.	20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 11. Haciyev R. 33. Imanov Y. (G) 23. Kalantarov F. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S. 57. Yusifov A.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Aydin E. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Huseynli R. ⚽,
37', Onanuga O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Djibrilla I. ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
46', Konate B. ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Verdasca D. ⚽,
52', Pachu 🟨,
64', Mickels L. ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
69', Cafarov C. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
72', Guima ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
76', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
81', Henrique Gelain 🟨,
82', Abuladze M. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+4', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
90+4', Nabiyev F. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Ruan Renato ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 5.

Zira is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kapaz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zira is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Zira will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:8. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Cup
03.03.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Zira - Karvan	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sumgayit - Zira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Cup
05.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.02.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sabah - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	İmişli - Kapaz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
28.11.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:2
30.08.25	Zira - Kapaz	5:0
26.04.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:1
24.02.25	Zira - Kapaz	2:0
08.12.24	Kapaz - Zira	0:4
28.09.24	Zira - Kapaz	3:0
18.05.24	Kapaz - Zira	0:1

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