Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ganja City Stadium (Gäncä)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	Azad TV, CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Gabala

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.95	2.40
	2.70	2.85	2.45	Watch
	2.79	3.03	2.65
	2.82	3.08	2.46	Watch
	2.70	2.95	2.60
	2.87	3.03	2.56	Watch
	2.90	3.05	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.67)	2.99 ↓ (3.09)	2.5 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
32.8%

Draw
30.5%

Gabala
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kapaz - Gabala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rogerio (G) 34. Abbasov U. 21. Abubakar A. 4. Abuladze M. 7. Alasgarov N. 3. Ba M. 66. Domgjoni D. 14. Fofana A. 9. Kalunga K. 99. Samadov A. (C) 11. Stina V.	1. Agayev S. (G) 27. Ahmadov E. 24. Akinade I. 16. Amoah I. 3. Edson Eduardo 12. Mabea K. 5. Monzango N. 9. Rossi K. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J. 80. Ubochioma M.
Substitutes
6. Abdullayev V. 27. Acquah D. 2. Atakishiyev A. 94. Azizli R. (G) 81. Bayramov E. (G) 33. Benito 10. Haciyev R. 70. Ismayilov S. 19. Kalantarov F. 20. Maharramli R. 17. Samadov U. 8. Seyidov S.	13. Aliyev N. 32. Arthur (G) 7. Bruno Silva 74. Damadayev S. 94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 66. Rashidov N. 21. Shakarkhanov Z. 2. Yaqubov A.
Coaches
Mammadov A.	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ba M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Stina V. ⚽,
65', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
65', Ubochioma M. ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
70', Alasgarov N. ↓, Benito ↑,
70', Samadov A. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
72', Rossi K. 🟨,
74', Ahmadov E. ↓, Shakarkhanov Z. ↑,
74', Edson Eduardo ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
81', Monzango N. 🟨,
82', Kalunga K. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
88', Benito 🟨,
89', Stina V. ↓, Abdullayev V. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
8	Gabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.09.26	Gabala - İmişli	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Gabala - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
28.05.26	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
05.04.26	Kapaz - Gabala	0:2
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Gabala - Kapaz	3:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.12.25	Kapaz - Gabala	1:0
20.09.25	Gabala - Kapaz	3:0
28.04.24	Gabala - Kapaz	0:1
23.02.24	Kapaz - Gabala	2:1
09.12.23	Gabala - Kapaz	0:3

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