Match Info

2. Liga - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg)

Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Kapfenberger SV		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.45	3.6	1.95
	3.66	3.84	1.99
	4.43	4.00	1.69	Watch
	3.51	3.62	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.63)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
25.7%

Draw
25.5%

Austria Lustenau
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.3%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Kapfenberger SV aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria Lustenau will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Lustenau will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strebinger R. (G) 19. Turi J. 17. Littig R. 28. Mikulic N. 8. Berg M. 5. Miskovic M. 37. Hofer M. 23. Hassler L. 20. Prohart F. (C) 34. Kavaz F. 71. Maier T.	27. Schierl D. (G) 3. William Rodrigues 31. Maak M. (C) 23. Grabher P. 26. Ibertsberger L. 8. Gorzel N. 7. Gmeiner F. 19. Delaye S. 61. Ismailcebioglu H. 99. Lahne J. 9. Jastremski L.
Substitutes
12. Colic V. (G) 16. Marinovic A. 27. Omic A. 6. Popic A. 14. Pranjkovic M. 18. Rostas J. 11. Toure L.	11. Akbulut M. 30. Bohm P. (G) 20. Koc E. 10. Ouattara I. 21. Rouquette A. 12. Vucenovic M. 6. Wade M.
Coaches
Grgic M.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Grabher P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', Gorzel N. 🟨,
51', Ismailcebioglu H. ↓, Ouattara I. ↑,
58', Gorzel N. 🟨,
63', Lahne J. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
72', Kavaz F. ↓, Rostas J. ↑,
74', Maak M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Littig R. ⚽, Hassler L. (A),
82', Gmeiner F. ↓, Akbulut M. ↑,
82', Delaye S. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
85', Maier T. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Jastremski L. ⚽, Maak M. (A),
90', Berg M. ↓, Toure L. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Maier T. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, Toure L. ⚽, Hassler L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 1.

In recent matches, Kapfenberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Austria Lustenau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Austria Lustenau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapfenberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
08.08.25	Floridsdorfer AC - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Kapfenberger SV - Admira	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.25	Dinamo Helfort - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Grazer AK - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Kapfenberger SV - Lafnitz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
08.08.25	Austria Lustenau - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Liefering - Austria Lustenau	0:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.25	Kuchl - Austria Lustenau	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Austria Lustenau - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Röthis - Austria Lustenau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
28.03.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	1:2
13.09.24	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau	0:2
22.04.22	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau	1:2
15.10.21	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	6:0
16.04.21	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	1:1
24.11.20	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau	0:2
17.07.20	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau	0:6

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