Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.1	3.5	3.15
	2.06	3.38	3.07
	2.04	3.5	3.1
	2.1	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.49)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)	3.09 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
43.8%

Draw
26.7%

Menemenspor
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karacabey Belediyespor's performance.

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Menemenspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karacabey Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Menemenspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karacabey Belediyespor - Menemenspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Salman N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Salman N. ⚽,

Preview

Karacabey Bld is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Menemen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.04.25	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWT
- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.04.25	Menemenspor - Bucaspor 1928	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Serik Belediyespor - Menemenspor	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Menemenspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Menemenspor - Giresunspor	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
14.12.24	Menemenspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1

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