Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.3	3.4	2.07
	3.37	3.48	1.99	Watch
	3.42	3.44	1.94
	3.3	3.4	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.72)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
27.9%

Draw
27.2%

Vanspor
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karacabey Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Karacabey Bld (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karacabey Bld (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Salman N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Vanspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vanspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Karacabey Bld won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.04.25	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	4:0 ✺
02.04.25	Vanspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	6:2 ✺
22.03.25	Vanspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Somaspor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0
Turkish Second League White Group
24.03.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	2:2
12.11.23	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.03.23	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0
09.10.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	2:0
21.10.20	Karacabey Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:1

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