Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Somaspor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.65	1.62
	4.43	3.81	1.67
	4.38	3.86	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.62
	4.63	3.68	1.63
	5.33	4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.38)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
19.8%

Draw
24%

Menemenspor
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

24.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Menemenspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Somaspor - Menemenspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Can Koc S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Ozcan E. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Can Koc S. ⚽, Ozfesli A. (A),
87', 1 - 3, Can Koc S. ⚽, Demiroglu B. (A),
90', 1 - 4, Keskin E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 3.

Recent form of Somaspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Menemen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Menemen is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Somaspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.25	Kırklarelispor - Somaspor	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Somaspor - Isparta 32 Spor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Adanaspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Somaspor - Arnavutköy	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Somaspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLL
- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.25	Menemenspor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mardin 1969 - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Menemenspor - Fethiyespor	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Menemenspor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
26.03.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:0
17.11.24	Menemenspor - Somaspor	1:3
06.03.24	Somaspor - Menemenspor	0:2
22.10.23	Menemenspor - Somaspor	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
09.04.23	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:0
30.10.22	Menemenspor - Somaspor	3:2

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