Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Muğlaspor

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.25	1.68
	4.12	3.35	1.83
	4.74	3.54	1.69	Watch
	4	3.25	1.75
	4.02	3.6	1.81	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4)	3.42 ↑ (3.14)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
21%

Draw
26.6%

Muğlaspor
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

28.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Muğlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kizilates C. ⚽, Capkan M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Karacabey Bld is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Muğlaspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Muğlaspor is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karacabey Bld won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karacabey Bld won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Batman Petrolspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Muğlaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.12.25	Muğlaspor - Batman Petrolspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.25	Altınordu - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Muğlaspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ankaragücü - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
01.03.20	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	1:1
20.10.19	Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2
27.01.19	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	2:1
08.09.18	Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0

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