Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Nazillispor

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	8.25
	1.3	5.2	8.6
	1.29	5.28	9.26
	1.29	4.88	9.24	Watch
	1.29	4.75	8.85
	1.3	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	5.05 ↑ (3.8)	8.8 ↑ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
71.3%

Draw
18.2%

Nazillispor
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

23.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

22.7%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karacabey Belediyespor's performance.

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karacabey Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Karacabey Belediyespor - Nazillispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Aydemir A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Ozcan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, Aydemir A. ⚽,

Preview

Karacabey Bld is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nazillispor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nazillispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karacabey Bld is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Karacabey Bld won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Yeni Amasyaspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWL
- Nazillispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Nazillispor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Serik Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Nazillispor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Somaspor - Nazillispor	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Nazillispor - Ankara Demirspor	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
21.04.24	Nazillispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:3
10.12.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Nazillispor	3:0
01.05.22	Nazillispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2
18.12.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Nazillispor	0:2
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
10.11.19	Karacabey Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:1

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