Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Tarsus Idman Yurdu

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.05	3.2
	2.22	2.76	3.77
	2.1	3.24	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.6)	3.31 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
42.7%

Draw
29.8%

Tarsus Idman Yurdu
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Tarsus Idman Yurdu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarsus Idman Yurdu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarsus Idman Yurdu than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarsus Idman Yurdu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Karacabey Belediyespor - Tarsus Idman Yurdu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Karacabey Bld will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tarsus Idman Yurdu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karacabey Bld: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Karacabey Belediyespor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tarsus Idman Yurdu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karacabey Belediyespor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Karacabey Belediyespor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
16.05.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Isparta 32 Spor	2:1 ✺
12.05.22	Isparta 32 Spor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
07.05.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Nazillispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kırşehir	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- Tarsus Idman Yurdu
Turkish Second League White Group
16.05.22	Amed SK - Tarsus Idman Yurdu	0:1 penalties ✺
12.05.22	Tarsus Idman Yurdu - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	Bucaspor 1928 - Tarsus Idman Yurdu	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Tarsus Idman Yurdu - Zonguldak Kömürspor	3:2 ✺
17.04.22	Tarsus Idman Yurdu - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
26.03.22	Tarsus Idman Yurdu - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0
10.11.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Tarsus Idman Yurdu	1:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.10.20	Karacabey Belediyespor - Tarsus Idman Yurdu	3:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
15.04.18	Tarsus Idman Yurdu - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1
25.11.17	Karacabey Belediyespor - Tarsus Idman Yurdu	1:1

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