Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Derince Belediyespor		Bucaspor 1928

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.35	3.05	2.2
	3.39	2.95	2.21
	3.18	3.18	2.21
	3.35	3.05	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.96)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
28%

Draw
29.7%

Bucaspor 1928
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

27.6%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

27.1%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bucaspor 1928 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derince Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bucaspor 1928 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Derince Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Derince Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bucaspor 1928 will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Eksi U. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Yilmaz A. E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 2 - 1, Erdem E. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Isikli O. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Camli D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bucaspor 1928 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Derince Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Derince Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Derince Belediyespor - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 22.98%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.03.25	Serik Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	7:1 ✺
09.03.25	Derince Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Erbaaspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Derince Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLT
- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Bucaspor 1928	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
10.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	2:1
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
11.02.21	Derince Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:1
04.10.20	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	1:0

Derince Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide