Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 20

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Bucaspor 1928		Karaman Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.19	4.45	6.7
	1.14	6.8	15.61	Watch
	1.13	7	17
	1.26	5.1	8.95
	1.92	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (2.73)	5.31 ↑ (3.23)	10.37 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucaspor 1928
72.6%

Draw
18.1%

Karaman Belediyespor
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucaspor 1928 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bucaspor 1928's performance.

Karaman Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karaman Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (-37.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bucaspor 1928 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+27.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karaman Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bucaspor 1928 will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Karaman will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaspor 1928: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaspor 1928 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bucaspor 1928 (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaspor 1928 (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Deniz M. ⚽, Orer B. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Akcagun B. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Orer B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 4 - 0, Deniz M. ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, Orer B. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bucaspor 1928 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karaman's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bucaspor 1928 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bucaspor 1928 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bucaspor 1928 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League White Group
28.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Batman Petrolspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bucaspor 1928	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karaman Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
28.12.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Ankaraspor	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Muğlaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
24.08.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	3:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor	0:2
03.11.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0

Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide