Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra		LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	2.95
	2.04	3.35	3.00
	2.07	3.58	3.04
	2.08	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.30	3.00
	2.06	3.90	2.96	Watch
	2.33	3.41	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	3.47 ↑ (3.41)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
43.1%

Draw
26%

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

25.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's performance.

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Baszak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Zdybowicz P. ⚽,
86', Nocon P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 0.

Karkonosze is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Goczałkowice-Zdrój is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Karkonosze has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karkonosze against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jelenia Gora	14	6	4	4	18:12	6	22
13	Goczalkowice Zdroj	14	4	3	7	15:21	-6	15

Last Results with these Odds

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.26	Stal Brzeg - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Polkowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL
- LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Kluczbork	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Polonia Nysa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.05.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1
18.10.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0
17.05.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0
19.10.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:0
04.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:1
07.10.23	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	5:1
30.04.22	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:0

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