Match Info

Prva NL - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek (Karlovac)


	Karlovac		Cibalia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.75
	1.88	3.15	3.8
	1.76	3.3	4.66
	2.25	2.85	3.43	Watch
	1.9	3.15	3.92
	1.83	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	4.06 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
48.3%

Draw
29.1%

Cibalia
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cibalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Karlovac - Cibalia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karlovac will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cibalia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maric D. I. (G) 14. Buneta A. 7. Ereiz D. 9. Kovacevic K. 13. Mrkela P. 20. Pamic Z. 8. Paracki G. 24. Simcic D. 4. Stepinac G. 15. Stipic M. 10. Zuljevic M.	12. Galic M. (G) 7. Boban G. 24. Bosak D. 14. Brlek P. 4. Kelic R. 8. Kuzminski M. 21. Pervan M. 5. Rubic P. 25. Sopic S. 15. Stapic K. 11. Zabec D.
Substitutes
5. Braun P. 2. Brekalo F. 22. Djolonga N. 21. Gaspar M. 17. Koscevic Z. 28. Mionic A. 27. Salic S. 12. Sarkanj T. (G) 3. Zilinski F.	28. Bosnjak D. 9. Bubnjar A. 91. Grujevic M. 1. Marijanovic L. (G) 2. Medo M. 10. Misic P. 13. Rajkovic L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bosak D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pamic Z. ↓, Mionic A. ↑,
53', Mrkela P. 🟨,
59', Kuzminski M. ↓, Bubnjar A. ↑,
60', Kelic R. 🟨,
64', Kelic R. ↓, Grujevic M. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Zabec D. ⚽,
71', Paracki G. ↓, Zilinski F. ↑,
74', Brlek P. ↓, Rajkovic L. ↑,
80', Ereiz D. ↓, Djolonga N. ↑,
80', Kovacevic K. ↓, Gaspar M. ↑,
80', Simcic D. ↓, Koscevic Z. ↑,
82', Galic M. 🟨,
85', Boban G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ HNL and 8).

Karlovac is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cibalia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cibalia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karlovac is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
03.10.25	Karlovac - Sesvete	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Karlovac - Opatija	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bijelo Brdo - Karlovac	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Karlovac - Rudeš	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hrvace - Karlovac	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWW
- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
05.10.25	Cibalia - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Jarun Zagreb - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cibalia - Orijent	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sesvete - Cibalia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWT

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