Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek (Karlovac)


	Karlovac		Grobničan

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.2	10
	1.18	5.12	8.58
	1.25	5.32	10.32	Watch
	1.21	5.4	11.4
	1.23	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.53)	5.25 ↑ (4.4)	10.06 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
73.9%

Draw
17.2%

Grobničan
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlovac's performance.

Grobničan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grobničan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlovac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobničan than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grobničan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karlovac - Grobničan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: ) and 13).

Karlovac in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Grobničan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Karlovac is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Karlovac to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlovac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian Druga NL
11.10.24	Bjelovar - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Karlovac - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Uljanik Pula - Karlovac	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Karlovac - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Hrvace - Karlovac	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW
- NK Grobničan
Croatian Druga NL
11.10.24	Grobničan - Mladost Ždralovi	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Bjelovar - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Grobničan - Kustošija	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Grobničan	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Grobničan - Radnik Križevci	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
23.03.24	Grobničan - Karlovac	0:1
16.09.23	Karlovac - Grobničan	2:1

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