Match Info

Druga NL - Round 26

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Grobničan		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.5	1.68
	4.07	3.53	1.71
	4.16	3.65	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.7
	4.09	3.69	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (5.34)	3.52 ↓ (4)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobničan
21.8%

Draw
25.6%

Kustošija
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22.7%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

20.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobničan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobničan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Grobničan - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Gashi M. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Sunjic N. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Kovacevic B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 3, Markanovic F. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Graf I. ⚽,
81', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

Grobničan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kustošija's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Grobničan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kustošija is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobničan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grobničan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Grobnican	7	2	1	4	9:17	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Grobničan
Croatian Druga NL
24.04.26	Grobničan - Uskok Klis	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Grobničan - Bjelovar	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Grobničan - Segesta	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Grobničan - Radnik Križevci	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Grobničan - Đakovo Croatia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTWWW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
24.04.26	Kustošija - Lučko	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Kustošija - Uskok Klis	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bjelovar - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kustošija - Segesta	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
31.10.25	Kustošija - Grobničan	1:1
28.03.25	Kustošija - Grobničan	2:2
28.09.24	Grobničan - Kustošija	1:2
12.04.24	Kustošija - Grobničan	2:0
07.10.23	Grobničan - Kustošija	5:3

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