Match Info

Prva NL - Round 32

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek (Karlovac)


	Karlovac		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.58	3.48	1.94
	2.96	3.33	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	1.95
	3.53	3.53	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.89)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
27.3%

Draw
27.1%

Jarun Zagreb
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.1%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jarun Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jarun Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jarun Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Karlovac - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karlovac will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Jarun will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maric D. I. (G) 5. Braun P. 14. Buneta A. 21. Gaspar M. 28. Mionic A. 22. Raguz P. 27. Salic S. (C) 6. Simunic D. 4. Stepinac G. 3. Zilinski F. 10. Zuljevic M.	72. Krizanovic I. (G) 2. Grdenic T. 9. Jelic G. 19. Jug P. 23. Ljubic J. 10. Luetic K. 22. Maloca M. (C) 20. Ocvirek N. 5. Orlic B. 26. Petkovic F. 34. Reyvandi A.
Substitutes
11. Budimir J. 23. Cindric B. 18. Fumic I. 19. Kapulica L. 26. Markeljevic M. 13. Mrkela P. 17. Okanovic D. 16. Regetas D. 12. Sarkanj T. (G)	1. Bosancic I. (G) 14. Buzic M. 15. Damjanovic I. 32. Jurincic N. 18. Kruslin V. 77. Musa F. 17. Peros R. 4. Sostar F. 27. Vukmanovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Jelic G. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Zuljevic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Karlovac is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jarun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karlovac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Karlovac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Karlovac	7	2	2	3	8:10	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
16.05.26	Orijent - Karlovac	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Karlovac - Rudeš	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Sesvete - Karlovac	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Karlovac - Dugopolje	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Cibalia - Karlovac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
17.05.26	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvace	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Opatija - Jarun Zagreb	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
25.10.25	Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac	3:1
15.08.25	Karlovac - Jarun Zagreb	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac	2:1
Croatian 3 HNL Center
05.05.21	Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac	2:1

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