Match Info

Date: 16 August 2020, Sunday


	Karlstad		Nyköping

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.4	4.1	6.75
	1.33	4.6	7.8
	1.33	4.8	6.6
	1.35	4.65	7.92
	1.32	5	7.5
	1.33	5.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.71 ↑ (4.58)	6.95 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad
67.4%

Draw
19.4%

Nyköping
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

19.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

12.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nyköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlstad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nyköping could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karlstad - Nyköping Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Karlstad is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nyköpings is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Karlstad have a series of guest games.

In this match Karlstad is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karlstad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlstad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.08.20	Brommapojkarna - Karlstad	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Karlstad - Gefle	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
31.07.20	Forward - Karlstad	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.07.20	Nyköping - Karlstad	3:2 ✺
19.07.20	Karlslund - Karlstad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.08.20	Nyköping - Luleå	2:4 ✺
08.08.20	Sollentuna - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
23.07.20	Nyköping - Karlstad	3:2 ✺
19.07.20	Nyköping - Täby	1:3 ✺
15.07.20	Berga - Nyköping	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.07.20	Nyköping - Karlstad	3:2
03.08.19	Karlstad - Nyköping	2:1
30.05.19	Nyköping - Karlstad	0:4

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