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Current Win Probability
Karlstad 60.3%
Draw 22.4%
Gefle 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
24.9%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
23.4%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlstad's performance.
Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gefle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Karlstad - Gefle Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karlstad will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 2. Beko S. 28. Djerlek A. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 12. Miguel W. 24. Nfansu D. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 23. Rhose L. 6. Zurmati S.
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 19. Javette C. 8. Kouyate M. 23. Lundstrom N. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 24. Persson K. 11. Vikgren L. 9. Zahirovic A.
Substitutes
26. Alfonsi D. 10. Alvers O. 11. Bengtsson J. 9. Carstrom J. 13. Henareh D. (G) 17. Jatta N. 18. Tagoe B.
13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 77. Hasanbegovic M. 27. Markstrom T. (G) 10. Mokede M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Rhose L. ↓, Tagoe B. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nfansu D. ↓, Carstrom J. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Djerlek A. ⚽,
56', Kouyate M. 🟨,
60', Kouyate M. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,
60', Lundstrom N. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
66', Hook I. 🟨,
75', Zahirovic A. ↓, Hasanbegovic M. ↑,
79', Djerlek A. ↓, Alvers O. ↑,
79', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
86', Gustafsson K. ↓, Alfonsi D. ↑,
86', Nehrman R. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 0.
Karlstad has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Gefle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gefle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Karlstad is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Karlstad will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Karlstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Karlstad
25
11
8
6
37:25
12
41
11
Gefle
25
9
3
13
29:43
-14
30
Last Results with these Odds
Gefle - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.49%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Sweden
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Karlsson M. (G) 
Djerlek A. 
Nfansu D. 
Zurmati S. 
Kouyate M. 
Lundstrom N. 
Tagoe B. 
Hasanbegovic M. 
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