Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Apollon Limassol		Nea Salamis

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.45	4.3	6.2
	1.45	4.57	7.08
	1.43	4.58	6.86	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.46	4.13	7.04	Watch
	1.45	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	4.28 ↑ (4.13)	6.48 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Limassol
64.2%

Draw
21.6%

Nea Salamis
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Nea Salamis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis Predictions

Users Predictions: Apollon Limassol will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 11. Babacar D. 10. Boisgard Q. 13. Bruno Santos 6. D'Almeida S. 44. Kvida J. . Kyriakou C. 3. Lam T. 14. Malekkidis G. 37. Wouter T. 2. Youssef A.	1. Melissas N. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 3. de Lucas L. 22. Durmisi R. 23. Frangos A. 12. Gbelle G. 45. Plumain A. 2. Sergiou K. 11. Tabekou S. 4. Tomovic N. 14. Vellios A.
Substitutes
4. Adoni Z. 21. Barahona C. 70. Boli C. 81. De Marco V. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 9. Dorregaray D. 17. Duodu C. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 20. Spoljaric D. . Vouros P. 27. Weissbeck G. 8. Zmrhal J.	31. Antosch D. (G) 18. Carlitos 17. Efthymiou E. 10. Fernandez V. 98. Kalanides G. (G) 80. Katsiaris A. 26. Lecjaks J. 24. Leuko S. 5. Michail A. 20. Papageorgiou G. 25. Prokopiou T. 21. Spyridakis D.
Coaches
Avgousti S.	Gonzalez H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Durmisi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Bahassa Y. ⚽,
54', D'Almeida S. ↓, Weissbeck G. ↑,
54', Wouter T. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
57', Kvida J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Youssef A. ⚽,
65', Gbelle G. ↓, Carlitos ↑,
66', Tabekou S. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
69', Babacar D. ↓, Duodu C. ↑,
80', Boisgard Q. ↓, Zmrhal J. ↑,
80', Malekkidis G. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
82', Frangos A. ↓, Katsiaris A. ↑,
84', Melissas N. 🟨,
86', Plumain A. ↓, Michail A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

Nea Salamis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Limassol won 2.

Recent matches Apollon Limassol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nea Salamis is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nea Salamis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Apollon Limassol is certain favorite.

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Loizou G. (Injury) Marques P. (Knee Injury) Sagal A. (Thigh Injury) Vouros P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nea Salamis: Koumpari K. (Knee Injury) Narsingh L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Apollon Limassol won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:17 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Limassol won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
28.02.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Apollon Limassol - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLTW
- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
01.03.25	Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Nea Salamis - Aris Limassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
08.12.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	1:0
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	3:1
Cypriot First Division
13.04.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	0:2
04.03.24	Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:0
17.12.23	Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis	0:2
27.08.23	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	1:1
02.01.23	Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:0

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