Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion		Ethnikos Achna

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3.1	2.34
	2.87	3.25	2.56
	2.78	3.28	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.3
	2.77	3.4	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
33.1%

Draw
28.6%

Ethnikos Achna
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion's form might have worsened.

Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethnikos Achna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karmiotissa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Epassy D. (G) 29. Andreou P. 2. Antoniou M. 20. Artymatas P. 17. Cmiljanic B. 80. Giousis C. 6. Hocko D. 11. Kovacevic B. 9. Kvirkvia M. 8. Neofytou A. (C) 16. Tsoukalas S.	40. Flores L. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 29. Bahanack P. 11. Bonetto J. 98. Breno Almeida 5. De Iriondo M. 17. Gonzalez P. 22. Ioannou P. 16. Panagiotou P. 10. Pechlivanis M. 25. Saadi J.
Substitutes
99. Bamba I. D. 26. Christoforou K. 33. Englezou N. 24. Gradinaru R. 90. Kampetsis A. 75. Mattheou N. 15. Panteli S. 1. Spoljaric A. (G) 10. Stojanovic L. 77. Vrikkis A. 22. Yeddes S. (G)	80. Angelopoulos G. N. 3. Ashkovski S. 1. Bogatinov M. (G) 18. Dubov N. R. 19. Hernandez R. 7. Ilia K. 20. Milinceanu N. 45. Papastylianou M. (G) 9. Sobiech A. 28. Stylianou M. 50. Tzouliou D. 23. Venizelou K.
Coaches
Garpozis A.	Badia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Tsoukalas S. 🟨,
34', Bonetto J. 🟨,
42', De Iriondo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Tsoukalas S. ↓, Kampetsis A. ↑,
70', Hocko D. 🟨,
73', Andereggen N. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
82', Cmiljanic B. ↓, Stojanovic L. ↑,
88', Antoniou M. ↓, Gradinaru R. ↑,
88', Giousis C. ↓, Bamba I. D. ↑,
88', Kvirkvia M. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,
90', Gonzalez P. ↓, Ashkovski S. ↑,
90+3', Kovacevic B. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 0.

Recent matches Karmiotissa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ethnikos Achna is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karmiotissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:36 (average 1.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Karmiotissa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.9:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot First Division
01.02.25	Omonia - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Paphos	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Apollon Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0 ✺
13.01.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia Aradippou	3:1 ✺
08.01.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
02.02.25	Ethnikos Achna - Enosis Neon Paralimni	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Aris Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	6:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	0:0 ✺
13.01.25	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
03.11.24	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:2
07.04.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	1:4
24.02.24	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1
07.01.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	1:1
23.09.23	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0
13.04.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	2:4
11.02.21	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1

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