Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ethnikos Achnas (Achna)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Ethnikos Achna		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.35	2.22
	3.06	3.56	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	3.06	3.32	2.25	Watch
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	2.2 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ethnikos Achna
31%

Draw
27.2%

AEL Limassol
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). AEL will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEL: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - AEL (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEL Limassol will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEL (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Flores L. (G) 98. Breno Almeida 27. Confais A. 17. Gonzalez P. 12. Lomotey E. (C) 5. Luis Felipe 20. Machado L. 8. Maia M. 37. Ofori R. 30. Papageorgiou G. 24. Psaltis P.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 21. Bogdan L. 26. Glavcic N. 10. Jradi B. Z. 97. Keller S. 33. Makris A. (C) 19. Milosavljevic I. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Singh L. 15. Stevanovic D. 6. Zdravkovski D.
Substitutes
33. Andereggen N. 80. Angelopoulos G. N. 29. Bahanack P. 14. Dimitriou M. 44. Giallouros N. 36. Kane M. 11. Marinescu M. 89. Papanikolaou Baig I. (G) 10. Pechlivanis M. 47. Perdios N. 25. Saadi J.	45. Forestieri F. 2. Frantzis C. 24. Imanishimwe E. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 8. Papafotis V. 17. Paroutis D. . Sawo Z. 37. Szoke J. 42. Wheeler C.
Coaches
Ferreira R.	Martins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
31', Keller S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Singh L. 🟨,
59', Bogdan L. ↓, Sawo Z. ↑,
64', Ofori R. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez P. ↓, Andereggen N. ↑,
66', Maia M. ↓, Kane M. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Sawo Z. ⚽,
71', Makris A. ↓, Forestieri F. ↑,
71', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Szoke J. ↑,
71', Jradi B. Z. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
72', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Pechlivanis M. ↑,
77', Paroutis D. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
79', Ofori R. 🟨,
83', Luis Felipe ↓, Bahanack P. ↑,
90+4', Singh L. ↓, Papafotis V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 1.

Ethnikos Achna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AEL has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ethnikos Achna has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Rodriguinho (Inactive) Toumpas I. (Inactive)

There will not play in AEL: Neofytou K. (Surgery) Ouedraogo D. (Injury) Thomalla D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEL Limassol	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
22.12.25	Omonia - Ethnikos Achna	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Akritas Chlorakas - Ethnikos Achna	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
03.12.25	Spartakos Kitiou - Ethnikos Achna	0:4 ✺
Cypriot First Division
29.11.25	Ethnikos Achna - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
22.12.25	AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEL Limassol	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Omonia Aradippou - AEL Limassol	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	APOEL - AEL Limassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
14.09.25	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	2:2
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	1:3
Cypriot First Division
03.05.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	2:0
19.01.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	0:0
05.10.24	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	5:2
07.05.24	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	2:0
30.03.24	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:1

Upcoming Matches